Romania vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1968 |
AUT
1 - 1
ROU
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1967 |
ROU
0 - 1
DDR
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1967 |
ROU
1 - 0
BRD
37%
24%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1967 |
DDR
1 - 0
ROU
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
POL
0 - 0
ROU
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1968 |
NED
0 - 0
SCO
37%
24%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1968 |
POL
0 - 0
NED
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1967 |
NED
3 - 1
SUN
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1967 |
NED
1 - 2
YUG
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |