Romania vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
2.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ITA
1 - 0
ROU
59%
23%
17%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ROU
1 - 1
JPN
60%
22%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
DEN
2 - 2
ROU
55%
23%
22%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ROU
4 - 0
LUX
84%
12%
4%
|
92 | 39 | 53 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
UKR
0 - 2
ROU
24%
25%
51%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
RUS
3 - 1
GEO
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
ALB
3 - 1
GEO
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
GEO
3 - 0
ALB
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
IRL
2 - 0
GEO
88%
10%
3%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
GEO
1 - 0
RUS
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |