Romania vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1991 |
NOR
1 - 0
ROU
33%
28%
39%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
ESP
0 - 2
ROU
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1991 |
SUI
0 - 0
ROU
40%
28%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
SMR
1 - 3
ROU
4%
16%
80%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1990 |
ROU
6 - 0
SMR
92%
6%
2%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
USA
0 - 0
HND
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1991 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1991 |
USA
3 - 2
CRC
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1991 |
GTM
0 - 3
USA
50%
28%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1991 |
USA
2 - 1
TTO
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |