Romania vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
ROU
3 - 0
GRC
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 1
ROU
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
GRC
2 - 1
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
ROU
71%
20%
10%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
ROU
3 - 2
YUG
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1979 |
CSK
1 - 0
ESP
56%
25%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1978 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
61%
24%
16%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
ESP
5 - 0
CYP
92%
6%
2%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
ROU
71%
20%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1978 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
43%
28%
29%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |