Romania vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
ROU
2 - 1
POL
48%
27%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
SCO
2 - 1
ROU
47%
28%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1990 |
SUN
1 - 2
ROU
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1990 |
IRL
0 - 0
ROU
48%
26%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1990 |
ARG
1 - 1
ROU
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
SWE
2 - 0
BGR
66%
22%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
SUI
2 - 0
BGR
51%
27%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
BRA
2 - 1
BGR
83%
12%
4%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
GRC
1 - 0
BGR
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
BGR
4 - 0
GRC
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |