Romania vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
GRC
0 - 0
ROU
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
POL
2 - 1
ROU
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
ROU
1 - 0
ITA
38%
30%
33%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1988 |
ROU
3 - 0
ISR
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1988 |
ROU
3 - 0
GRC
70%
20%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
BGR
0 - 2
DEN
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1989 |
BGR
1 - 2
BRD
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
BGR
1 - 2
SUN
28%
29%
44%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1988 |
SRB
0 - 1
BGR
16%
25%
60%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1988 |
DEN
1 - 1
BGR
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |