Romania vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1981 |
ROU
1 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
HUN
1 - 0
ROU
76%
17%
8%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
ENG
0 - 0
ROU
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
DEN
2 - 1
ROU
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1981 |
ISR
2 - 1
ROU
40%
29%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
BGR
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1981 |
AUT
2 - 0
BGR
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
BGR
4 - 0
FIN
80%
13%
8%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
BGR
1 - 0
NOR
80%
13%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
POR
1 - 1
BGR
62%
24%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |