Romania vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 0
ROU
72%
19%
9%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
TUR
1 - 1
ROU
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ROU
4 - 6
YUG
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 0
ROU
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
ROU
6 - 1
GRC
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
POL
1 - 0
BGR
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CSK
0 - 0
BGR
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
MEX
3 - 0
BGR
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
PER
1 - 1
BGR
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
BGR
74%
18%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |