Romania vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1976 |
CSK
3 - 2
ROU
75%
16%
8%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
ROU
1 - 1
CSK
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1976 |
IRN
2 - 2
ROU
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
ITA
4 - 2
ROU
75%
18%
7%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1976 |
BGR
1 - 0
ROU
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
BGR
0 - 4
DDR
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
BGR
0 - 4
BMU
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
BGR
2 - 2
FRA
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
BGR
2 - 2
TUR
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1976 |
SUI
2 - 2
BGR
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |