Romania vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ROU
0 - 1
AUT
45%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
4 - 0
ROU
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ISL
2 - 1
ROU
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
AUT
2 - 3
ROU
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
ROU
1 - 1
NIR
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
BLR
2 - 0
KAZ
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
LTU
2 - 2
BLR
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
GEO
1 - 0
BLR
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
KAZ
1 - 2
BLR
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
BLR
0 - 2
ALB
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |