Romania vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.8%
13.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ROU
1 - 1
CSK
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1936 |
ROU
1 - 2
HUN
45%
20%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1936 |
ROU
4 - 1
BGR
69%
16%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
ROU
5 - 2
ECU
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
ROU
3 - 2
YUG
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1937 |
YUG
1 - 1
BEL
63%
17%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
GER
1 - 0
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 2
SUI
67%
17%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
2 - 1
NED
38%
21%
42%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |