Romania vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
YUG
1 - 2
ROU
55%
19%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1940 |
GER
9 - 3
ROU
77%
13%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
HUN
2 - 0
ROU
77%
13%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
ITA
2 - 1
ROU
78%
13%
10%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ROU
3 - 3
YUG
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
SUI
2 - 1
GER
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
GER
7 - 0
HUN
66%
16%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
GER
4 - 2
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
GER
1 - 0
DEN
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
YUG
2 - 0
GER
37%
21%
42%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |