Romania vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1938 |
YUG
1 - 1
ROU
52%
20%
28%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1938 |
CUB
2 - 1
ROU
36%
22%
42%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
CUB
3 - 3
ROU
35%
22%
43%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
ROU
0 - 1
YUG
71%
15%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1937 |
YUG
2 - 1
ROU
49%
20%
31%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
GER
4 - 1
POL
71%
15%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1938 |
SUI
4 - 2
GER
35%
22%
44%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1938 |
SUI
1 - 1
GER
34%
22%
45%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1938 |
GER
3 - 6
ENG
50%
20%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
GER
1 - 1
POR
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |