Rwanda vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TAN
0 - 1
RWA
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
ERI
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
0 - 1
RWA
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 5
CIV
10%
21%
69%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
ZIM
2 - 1
RSA
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CPV
2 - 1
ZIM
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ZIM
3 - 0
LBR
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ZIM
2 - 0
ZAM
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ZIM
2 - 1
MLI
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |