CHAN Qualifying Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Rwanda vs Djibouti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DJI
1 - 0
RWA
14%
20%
67%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
RWA
2 - 1
BEN
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
BEN
3 - 0
RWA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
RWA
0 - 0
NGA
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
LBY
1 - 1
RWA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DJI
1 - 0
RWA
14%
20%
67%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DJI
1 - 1
ETH
11%
16%
72%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
SLE
2 - 1
DJI
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LBR
0 - 0
DJI
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
DJI
0 - 2
LBR
19%
21%
60%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |