Rwanda vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
LBY
1 - 1
RWA
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 1
RWA
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
RWA
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 2
RWA
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
RWA
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NGA
3 - 0
BEN
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
NGA
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 1
RSA
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 0
NGA
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 2
NGA
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |