Rwanda vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
66.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
ALG
1 - 0
RWA
70%
18%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
KEN
1 - 1
RWA
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
TAN
1 - 5
RWA
31%
23%
46%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
ETH
0 - 0
RWA
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2004 |
BDI
3 - 1
RWA
16%
20%
64%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
NGA
2 - 0
GAB
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
RSA
2 - 1
NGA
34%
30%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 2
ECU
55%
26%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
LBY
2 - 1
NGA
31%
30%
40%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
GAB
1 - 1
NGA
25%
30%
45%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |