Rwanda vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
RWA
1 - 1
BEN
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 1
RWA
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 0
RWA
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SDN
0 - 1
RWA
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 0
SDN
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 1
MWI
41%
29%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
SEN
14%
25%
62%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SEN
5 - 1
MOZ
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAD
3 - 1
MOZ
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
ALG
7%
18%
75%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |