Rwanda vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
53.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
19.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
RWA
3 - 0
MTN
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
BDI
0 - 0
RWA
25%
24%
52%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SDN
4 - 2
RWA
55%
22%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
UGA
0 - 1
RWA
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2007 |
DJI
0 - 9
RWA
27%
23%
51%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
MTN
1 - 4
MAR
4%
19%
77%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 4
MAR
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
GHA
2 - 0
MAR
30%
28%
43%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
3 - 2
MAR
19%
26%
56%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 5
MAR
7%
20%
74%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |