Rwanda vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
RWA
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
CTA
0 - 5
RWA
9%
17%
75%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
RWA
2 - 0
CTA
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
CMR
0 - 0
RWA
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
RWA
1 - 0
MOZ
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
KEN
0 - 0
UGA
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
TOG
1 - 2
KEN
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
KEN
1 - 1
EGY
12%
24%
64%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
KEN
11%
19%
70%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
KEN
1 - 1
COM
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |