Rwanda vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
56.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 3
GUI
22%
25%
54%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
KEN
2 - 1
RWA
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 3
MLI
20%
26%
54%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 0
RWA
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 1
UGA
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 3
GUI
22%
25%
54%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 0
GUI
77%
16%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 0
GNB
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 4
MAR
19%
26%
55%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 2
SDN
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |