Rwanda vs Central African Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
RWA
1 - 1
GUI
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 0
RWA
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RWA
1 - 2
CIV
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
RWA
0 - 1
LBY
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
RWA
1 - 0
EQG
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
CTA
0 - 0
CIV
5%
14%
81%
|
24 | 84 | 60 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
CIV
4 - 0
CTA
92%
7%
1%
|
25 | 84 | 59 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 0
CTA
92%
7%
1%
|
25 | 73 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
CTA
1 - 0
UGA
8%
15%
77%
|
22 | 68 | 46 | +3 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
NIG
3 - 3
CTA
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | +1 |