Rwanda vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
RWA
3 - 0
DJI
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DJI
1 - 0
RWA
14%
20%
67%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
RWA
2 - 1
BEN
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
BEN
3 - 0
RWA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
RWA
0 - 0
NGA
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 0
LBY
73%
18%
8%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
LBY
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
LBY
1 - 1
RWA
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
CPV
1 - 0
LBY
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
LBY
2 - 1
MUS
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |