CAF Qualifying 1ra Ronda Final
Global 3-0
Rwanda vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
48.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBY
0 - 0
RWA
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BDI
1 - 1
RWA
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
RWA
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
RWA
0 - 1
MWI
31%
27%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
RWA
0 - 1
ALG
23%
28%
49%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBY
0 - 0
RWA
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LBY
0 - 0
GHA
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
LBY
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GAB
1 - 1
LBY
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
CGO
2 - 2
LBY
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |