Rwanda vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
NGA
0 - 0
RWA
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
RWA
2 - 0
UGA
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
UGA
3 - 0
RWA
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
RWA
0 - 0
TAN
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
TAN
1 - 1
RWA
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
LBY
3 - 0
EQG
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SEN
3 - 0
EQG
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
LBN
1 - 1
EQG
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EQG
4 - 0
SSD
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
EQG
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |