WC Qual. Africa 1ra Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Rwanda vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
0 - 1
RWA
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 5
CIV
10%
21%
69%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BDI
3 - 1
RWA
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
BDI
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ERI
0 - 3
SSD
15%
21%
63%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
TAN
4 - 0
ERI
72%
18%
9%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ERI
1 - 2
SOM
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
RWA
2 - 1
ERI
70%
19%
10%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |