Ireland vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
NIR
0 - 0
IRL
51%
28%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1988 |
IRL
0 - 1
NED
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1988 |
IRL
1 - 1
SUN
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
ENG
0 - 1
IRL
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1988 |
NOR
0 - 0
IRL
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
CHN
0 - 0
TUN
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1988 |
TUN
1 - 4
DEU
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
SWE
2 - 2
TUN
75%
18%
7%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1988 |
LBN
1 - 1
TUN
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1988 |
EGY
1 - 0
TUN
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |