Ireland vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
IRL
2 - 0
YUG
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
IRL
2 - 0
ROU
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1987 |
IRL
5 - 0
ISR
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
IRL
2 - 0
BGR
50%
27%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
IRL
2 - 1
LUX
89%
8%
3%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1988 |
DNK
3 - 0
POL
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
POL
1 - 1
DEU
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1988 |
POL
1 - 0
ROU
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
NIR
1 - 1
POL
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1988 |
POL
5 - 1
GRC
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |