Ireland vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1964 |
IRL
1 - 3
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
NOR
1 - 4
IRL
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
POL
3 - 1
IRL
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
IRL
0 - 2
ESP
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1964 |
ESP
5 - 1
IRL
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
SWE
3 - 3
POL
83%
11%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
TUR
2 - 3
POL
51%
23%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
POL
2 - 1
CSK
42%
23%
35%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1964 |
POL
0 - 1
ITA
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
POL
3 - 1
IRL
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |