Ireland vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.2%
16.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1958 |
AUT
3 - 1
IRL
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
POL
2 - 2
IRL
40%
21%
38%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
DEN
0 - 2
IRL
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
IRL
1 - 1
ENG
31%
22%
48%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1957 |
ENG
5 - 1
IRL
87%
8%
5%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
POL
1 - 3
HUN
10%
15%
76%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
DDR
1 - 1
POL
21%
22%
57%
|
63 | 16 | 47 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
POL
1 - 2
SCO
37%
23%
40%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
DEN
3 - 2
POL
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
POL
2 - 2
IRL
40%
21%
38%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |