Ireland vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
IRL
4 - 0
SUI
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1938 |
POL
6 - 0
IRL
62%
18%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1938 |
CSK
2 - 2
IRL
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1937 |
IRL
3 - 3
NOR
54%
20%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
NOR
3 - 2
IRL
66%
17%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
POL
2 - 2
NOR
53%
20%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
LVA
2 - 1
POL
44%
22%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
POL
4 - 4
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
GER
4 - 1
POL
71%
15%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
BRA
6 - 5
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |