Ireland vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
CHN
0 - 1
IRL
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1984 |
IRL
0 - 0
POL
30%
27%
44%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
ISR
3 - 0
IRL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
IRL
8 - 0
MLT
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
IRL
2 - 3
NED
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
ITA
5 - 0
MEX
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1983 |
MEX
5 - 0
CAN
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1983 |
MEX
2 - 0
SWE
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1983 |
MEX
5 - 0
SLV
77%
15%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1983 |
MEX
2 - 0
GTM
95%
3%
2%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |