Ireland vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.6%
16.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
IRL
3 - 5
FRA
42%
20%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1953 |
IRL
4 - 0
AUT
35%
22%
43%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
IRL
1 - 1
FRA
39%
20%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
ESP
6 - 0
IRL
81%
12%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1952 |
AUT
6 - 0
IRL
83%
11%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
LUX
1 - 6
FRA
31%
20%
49%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1952 |
BRA
2 - 1
LUX
85%
10%
6%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
LUX
5 - 3
GBR
47%
21%
32%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
LUX
0 - 3
GER
30%
21%
49%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
GER
4 - 1
LUX
88%
8%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |