Ireland vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
28.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1990 |
IRL
0 - 0
ROU
48%
26%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1990 |
IRL
1 - 1
NED
39%
28%
33%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1990 |
IRL
0 - 0
EGY
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 1
IRL
73%
19%
9%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1990 |
MLT
0 - 3
IRL
20%
27%
53%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1990 |
ITA
2 - 0
URU
65%
22%
13%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1990 |
ITA
2 - 0
CSK
61%
24%
15%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1990 |
ITA
1 - 0
USA
76%
17%
7%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1990 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
62%
23%
15%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
SUI
0 - 1
ITA
27%
32%
41%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |