Ireland vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
48%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1971 |
IRL
0 - 1
YUG
81%
12%
8%
|
72 | 27 | 45 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1970 |
ITA
3 - 0
IRL
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
SWE
1 - 0
IRL
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
IRL
1 - 1
SWE
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
IRL
0 - 2
POL
39%
23%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
72%
18%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1970 |
ITA
3 - 0
IRL
84%
11%
5%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
AUT
1 - 2
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1970 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
27%
27%
46%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 1
ITA
70%
17%
13%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |