EC Qualifying Clasificación Final
Global 5-3
Ireland vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.6%
14%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
IRL
2 - 3
AUT
44%
23%
34%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
CSK
7 - 1
IRL
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
IRL
1 - 3
CSK
49%
22%
28%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
IRL
0 - 3
SCO
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
SCO
4 - 1
IRL
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1962 |
ISL
1 - 3
NOR
57%
19%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1960 |
ISL
0 - 5
BRD
37%
23%
41%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1960 |
NOR
4 - 0
ISL
59%
18%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1959 |
NOR
2 - 1
ISL
61%
18%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1959 |
DEN
1 - 1
ISL
70%
15%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |