Ireland vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1978 |
DEN
3 - 3
IRL
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 0
IRL
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
IRL
80%
15%
5%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
POL
3 - 0
IRL
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
IRL
4 - 2
TUR
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1978 |
WAL
1 - 0
NIR
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 0
NIR
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
SCO
1 - 1
NIR
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
NIR
3 - 0
BEL
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
NIR
0 - 1
NED
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |