WC Play Offs Final
Global 2-1
Ireland vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
IRL
4 - 0
CYP
76%
17%
7%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
IRL
1 - 0
NED
20%
23%
57%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
IRL
2 - 2
CRO
59%
22%
19%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
EST
0 - 2
IRL
18%
24%
58%
|
92 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
IRL
1 - 1
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2001 |
UAE
0 - 3
IRN
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2001 |
IRN
1 - 0
UAE
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
BHR
3 - 1
IRN
17%
24%
58%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
IRN
2 - 1
IRQ
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
IRN
1 - 0
THA
66%
20%
15%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |