Ireland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
51.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1964 |
NOR
1 - 4
IRL
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
POL
3 - 1
IRL
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
IRL
0 - 2
ESP
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1964 |
ESP
5 - 1
IRL
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
IRL
3 - 2
AUT
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
POR
3 - 4
ENG
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1964 |
ENG
2 - 1
URU
80%
12%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1964 |
SCO
1 - 0
ENG
35%
22%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
ENG
8 - 3
NIR
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
ENG
2 - 1
FIF
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 10 | 78 | 0 |