Ireland vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
IRL
0 - 1
SUI
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
IRL
0 - 0
BEL
11%
19%
70%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IRL
1 - 1
NZL
72%
19%
10%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NED
1 - 0
IRL
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
GIB
0 - 4
IRL
9%
19%
73%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
HUN
2 - 0
XXK
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
HUN
1 - 0
TUR
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
HUN
3 - 1
MNE
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BGR
2 - 2
HUN
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LTU
2 - 2
HUN
13%
22%
65%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |