Ireland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
IRL
0 - 0
DEN
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
POL
1 - 1
IRL
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
WAL
4 - 1
IRL
37%
29%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
IRL
2 - 1
USA
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
IRL
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 4
ESP
10%
19%
71%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
DEN
2 - 0
WAL
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
WAL
4 - 1
IRL
37%
29%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2018 |
MEX
0 - 0
WAL
71%
20%
10%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 1
PAN
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |