Ireland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1960 |
SWE
4 - 1
IRL
83%
11%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1960 |
GER
0 - 1
IRL
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1960 |
IRL
6 - 3
NED
55%
20%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1960 |
IRL
2 - 0
CHI
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
IRL
1 - 3
GBR
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1960 |
WAL
3 - 2
NIR
65%
19%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1959 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
WAL
1 - 1
ENG
19%
20%
62%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1959 |
NIR
4 - 1
WAL
48%
20%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1958 |
ENG
2 - 2
WAL
90%
7%
3%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |