Ireland vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
IRL
0 - 1
ESP
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1976 |
FRA
2 - 0
IRL
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
TUR
3 - 3
IRL
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1976 |
ENG
1 - 1
IRL
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
POL
0 - 2
IRL
79%
14%
6%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1977 |
FRA
1 - 0
BRD
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1976 |
FRA
2 - 0
IRL
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
BGR
2 - 2
FRA
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
DEN
1 - 1
FRA
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1976 |
HUN
1 - 0
FRA
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |