Ireland vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 4
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
IRL
89%
7%
4%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 0
POR
49%
20%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
IRL
0 - 2
BEL
62%
17%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
IRL
0 - 1
SUI
55%
19%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1949 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
37%
20%
43%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1949 |
FIN
1 - 4
NED
30%
20%
50%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
POL
1 - 0
FIN
83%
10%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
FIN
2 - 2
SWE
25%
20%
55%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1948 |
NOR
2 - 0
FIN
87%
8%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |