Ireland vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1966 |
BEL
2 - 3
IRL
63%
20%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
AUT
1 - 0
IRL
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
IRL
0 - 4
BRD
39%
23%
38%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRL
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
ESP
4 - 1
IRL
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1966 |
ESP
2 - 1
SUI
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
ARG
2 - 1
ESP
68%
18%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1966 |
ESP
1 - 1
URU
70%
17%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
47%
21%
31%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |