Ireland vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1955 |
IRL
1 - 4
YUG
39%
22%
39%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1955 |
GER
2 - 1
IRL
83%
10%
6%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1955 |
NOR
1 - 3
IRL
58%
19%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
IRL
1 - 0
NED
55%
18%
27%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
IRL
2 - 1
NOR
53%
19%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1955 |
SUI
0 - 3
ESP
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1955 |
ESP
1 - 1
ENG
47%
21%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1955 |
ESP
1 - 2
FRA
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1954 |
TUR
2 - 2
ESP
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
TUR
1 - 0
ESP
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |