Ireland vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1961 |
SCO
4 - 1
IRL
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
IRL
3 - 1
NOR
63%
17%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
IRL
2 - 3
WAL
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1960 |
SWE
4 - 1
IRL
83%
11%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1960 |
GER
0 - 1
IRL
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1961 |
SCO
4 - 1
IRL
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
ENG
9 - 3
SCO
81%
11%
7%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1960 |
SCO
5 - 2
NIR
72%
17%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1960 |
WAL
2 - 0
SCO
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1960 |
TUR
4 - 2
SCO
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |