Ireland vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
CSK
4 - 1
IRL
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
WAL
2 - 1
IRL
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1979 |
IRL
0 - 0
ARG
24%
27%
50%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
IRL
1 - 3
BRD
19%
25%
56%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
IRL
1 - 3
GER
25%
27%
49%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1979 |
BGR
0 - 3
ENG
23%
27%
51%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
BGR
1 - 0
IRL
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
NIR
2 - 0
BGR
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
ARG
2 - 1
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
SUN
3 - 1
BGR
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |