Ireland vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
BGR
2 - 1
IRL
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
IRL
0 - 0
POL
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1977 |
IRL
1 - 0
FRA
38%
25%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
IRL
0 - 1
ESP
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1976 |
FRA
2 - 0
IRL
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
BGR
3 - 1
TUR
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
BGR
2 - 1
IRL
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
BGR
3 - 1
DEN
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1977 |
TUR
2 - 0
BGR
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
CYP
1 - 2
BGR
27%
23%
50%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |