Ireland vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1932 |
NED
0 - 2
IRL
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1931 |
IRL
0 - 5
ESP
42%
23%
35%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
ESP
1 - 1
IRL
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
BEL
2 - 4
IRL
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
ITA
3 - 0
IRL
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
BEL
2 - 3
FRA
64%
17%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
BEL
2 - 2
DEN
45%
22%
33%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
GER
8 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
AUT
4 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
11%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
POL
0 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |